Table of Contents
Market Overview
As of Friday, September 12, 2025, gold prices in Saudi Arabia have shown notable resilience, trading near the $3,650 mark. This stability comes after a rebound from Thursday’s pullback, maintaining a positive tone in the market.
The XAU/USD pair continues to hover close to its recent all-time high gold levels, reflecting a strong demand for the precious metal. Factors contributing to this upward trend include a weakening USD, expectations of a potential Federal Reserve rate cut, and a series of economic indicators pointing towards a cooling economy. Investors in Saudi Arabia are closely monitoring these developments, as they navigate the implications for both local and global markets.
Gold Price Movement Chart

The XAU/USD chart shows a strong recovery after minor dips earlier this week. On Friday, gold stabilized near $3,650, just below its all-time high gold of $3,675. The chart highlights a pattern where gold has been consolidating within a tight range for several days.
Weekly data indicates that gold is on course for weekly gain, marking the fourth consecutive week of positive returns.
| Date | Gold Price (XAU/USD) | Trend | Notes |
| Monday | $3,660 | Rebounding | Support from USD weakness |
| Tuesday | $3,670 | Minor pullback | Market consolidation |
| Wednesday | $3,675 | All-time high gold | Global demand spikes |
| Thursday | $3,645 | Slight dip | Reaction to inflation data |
| Friday | $3,650 | Stabilized | Trading with a positive tone |
The table shows how gold prices move with global factors. Saudi traders often track XAU/USD charts for short-term decisions. Historical trends indicate that such consolidation usually precedes sharp upward or downward moves.
Technical Analysis

Technically, gold shows strength above key support levels near $3,600. Indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and MACD suggest that gold is still in an upward trajectory despite stuck in a narrow range movement. Moving averages show bullish signals, and any dips are likely buying opportunities for Saudi investors.
Resistance levels are currently near the all-time high gold, and breaking this could trigger a strong rally. Analysts observe that XAU/USD trends are reacting to rate cut expectations by the Federal Reserve (Fed). Short-term traders in Saudi Arabia are likely to benefit from these fluctuations if monitored carefully. Combining technical indicators with fundamental news is essential for timely trading.
Multiple Technical Indicators
| Name | Value | Action | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RSI(14) | 54.015 | Neutral | ||
| STOCH(9,6) | 51.845 | Neutral | ||
| STOCHRSI(14) | 23.355 | Oversold | ||
| MACD(12,26) | 1.87 | Buy | ||
| ADX(14) | 24.996 | Sell | ||
| Williams %R | -48.701 | Neutral | ||
| CCI(14) | -59.0222 | Sell | ||
| ATR(14) | 7.0193 | High Volatility | ||
| Highs/Lows(14) | 0 | Neutral | ||
| Ultimate Oscillator | 54.433 | Buy | ||
| ROC | -0.08 | Sell | ||
| Bull/Bear Power(13) | -1.6821 | Sell | ||
Moving Average
| MA5 | 3685.15 | Buy | 3684.96 | Buy |
| MA10 | 3684.95 | Buy | 3684.92 | Buy |
| MA20 | 3683.99 | Buy | 3682.76 | Buy |
| MA50 | 3677.61 | Buy | 3680.22 | Buy |
| MA100 | 3679.72 | Buy | 3670.37 | Buy |
| MA200 | 3645.61 | Buy | 3633.62 | Buy |
Pivot Points
| Name | S3 | S2 | S1 | Pivot Points | R1 | R2 | R3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Classic | 3672.33 | 3675.89 | 3679.08 | 3682.64 | 3685.83 | 3689.39 | 3692.58 |
| Fibonacci | 3675.89 | 3678.47 | 3680.06 | 3682.64 | 3685.22 | 3686.81 | 3689.39 |
| Camarilla | 3680.41 | 3681.03 | 3681.65 | 3682.64 | 3682.89 | 3683.51 | 3684.13 |
| Woodie’s | 3672.15 | 3675.8 | 3678.9 | 3682.55 | 3685.65 | 3689.3 | 3692.4 |
| DeMark’s | – | – | 3677.49 | 3681.84 | 3684.24 | – | – |
Fundamental Analysis
Global inflation data is impacting the gold price in Saudi Arabia. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August indicated that inflation remains slightly high, but other signals point to a cooling economy. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) growth has slowed, Initial Jobless Claims have risen, and the Producer Price Index shows softening price pressure. All these factors make gold attractive amid uncertainty.
The weakness in USD and expected monetary easing by the Federal Reserve (Fed) are key drivers for XAU/USD. For Saudi investors, understanding these global factors is crucial. Local demand trends, jewelry purchases, and investment appetite also support weekly gold gain in the region. Economic cooling and slowing job growth make gold a safe hedge against currency fluctuations.
Expert Insights & Analysis
Experts suggest that gold is likely to remain strong in the near term. Analysts highlight that rate cut expectations by the Federal Reserve (Fed) could push XAU/USD higher. A trading note from Al Rajhi Capital mentioned, “Gold continues to benefit from USD weakness and local demand, making it a safe-haven for Saudi investors.”
Other analysts stress watching market consolidation zones for breakout signals. Technical levels, fundamental indicators, and global economic events together determine the next move. For Saudi Arabia, both physical gold and investment products are recommended. Staying updated with weekly gold gain trends and local market news can guide smarter investment decisions.
Gold Price Prediction
Looking ahead, gold is expected to fluctuate between $3,630 and $3,700 in the short term. Analysts forecast that XAU/USD could climb if Federal Reserve (Fed) eases monetary policy next week. In the long term, prices could test $3,750 if USD weakness persists and inflation data continues to support precious metals.
| Time Frame | Predicted Gold Price | Factors Influencing Prediction |
| 1 Week | $3,650–$3,680 | Market consolidation, USD weakness |
| 1 Month | $3,670–$3,710 | Rate cut expectations, job growth slowdown |
| 3 Months | $3,700–$3,750 | Monetary policy easing, inflation trends |
Saudi investors should monitor weekly gold gain trends and technical charts regularly. Predictions remain flexible, and short-term volatility can provide trading opportunities.
Investment Tips for Investors
For Saudi investors, diversifying gold investments is essential. Physical gold bars and coins remain popular, while XAU/USD trading and gold ETFs offer liquidity and convenience. Experts advise allocating no more than 10–20% of your portfolio to precious metals to balance risk.
Timing plays a key role. Buying during small dips in XAU/USD or periods of market consolidation can maximize returns. Tracking Consumer Price Index (CPI), Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), and Producer Price Index trends is vital. Long-term investors should focus on the store-of-value benefits of gold amid economic cooling and USD weakness.
Factors Affecting Gold Prices in Saudi Arabia
Several factors drive gold prices locally. Global indicators such as USD weakness, Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut, and inflation data directly impact XAU/USD. Political uncertainty, trade tensions, and job growth slowdown also play a role. Locally, seasonal jewelry demand and investment interest add upward pressure.
Saudi Arabia’s central bank policies and monetary easing measures further influence weekly gold gain trends. The Producer Price Index and Consumer Price Index (CPI) provide insights into inflation trends, while Initial Jobless Claims and Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) indicate economic health. Together, these determine local price movements.
Comparison with Other Precious Metals
When compared with silver and platinum, gold maintains stronger stability in Saudi Arabia. Silver tends to be more volatile, while platinum reacts to industrial demand. For investors, gold offers a safer store of value, especially during economic cooling or USD weakness.
| Metal | Volatility | Investment Risk | Saudi Market Preference |
| Gold | Low | Low | High |
| Silver | High | Medium | Medium |
| Platinum | Medium | Medium-High | Low |
Investors seeking both safety and growth often prioritize gold, while others may diversify with precious metals for balanced portfolios.
Key Note:
In Saudi Arabia, the gold price remains robust, trading with a positive tone and on course for weekly gain. Global factors such as USD weakness, Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut, and monetary policy easing continue to support XAU/USD. Local demand, seasonal trends, and investment appetite further strengthen the market.
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